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to building bridges between the united states and the arab and muslim world, particularly libya. and i think this is going to sour a lot of americans about the future trajectory of the middle east, about the direction in which the arab spring is headed. and i think particularly this is tragic for syrians. syrians who are now under siege or around 20,000 syrians have been killed by the regime of assad and i think many syrians were hoping for an outside intervention or outside aid to provide some type of save zones. and i think the reality is that after the united states and nato had gone into libya it oust gadhafi, i think there will be far less appetite to want on do anything in syria. >> probably also raises huge questions about money from america that is going to fund some of these governments particularly in egypt where it's $1.5 billion plus another billion that was being put together in a package right now. how do you think that plays out in congress at this point? >> that's absolutely right. egypt is a country which has i think the second or third largest aid package from the united st
have a fiscal and monetary problem here in the united states. what will solve the problem right now? so far the fed doesn't seem to be able to create so many jobs right now. >> what bernanke said last week and i agree with him and the evidence points in this direction is the main reason we have an 9.1% unemployment is because of weak demand. if you're thinking about monetary or fiscal policy, on the fiscal side, it comes from tax cutting, spending increases, or both, and we have to worry about that. on the monetary side, what monetary authorities can do is reduce interest rates and try to reduce rates across a broad set of assets through qe policies. the fiscal and monetary side are trying to stimulate demand, and demand is missing to great stronger momentum. >> they're pushing on a string, rant they? >> the fed has the capability to act right now, and i think always, you know, again chairman ber knack key admitted that this policy tool is not a particularly strong tool. >> ben bernanke said that he creating two million jobs. they did analysis and said if not for what we had done, there
smoke coming out of the u.s. embassy. they have replaced the united state flag. there are also reports they have taken over an american school there as well. fox is trying to confirm all of this. it is similar to what we are seeing and other countries, in particular lebanon. at least one person was killed in the protest. many more were wounded. this comes as pope benedict xvi arrived in lebanon. protesters they were seen ripping up his picture ahead of his visit to lebanon. here in afghanistan, we feared there would be widespread violence. so far, those have not materialized. it has been very peaceful here in kabul. there are real concerns that the rights will spread to afghanistan or pakistan in the coming days. melissa: connor, thank you for that report. lori: these are trying times, that is for sure. let's see how the markets are reacting. nicole petallides is on the floor of the new york stock exchange. nicole: we are keeping a close eye on some of the office product retailers. there is news. the first set of news is stapled it now has private equity firms interested in taking it p
in the united states. some indexes they watch on a weekly basis have been lower recently and that will fuel a lot of talk about a bit of a slowdown. front-running the fed, guys, did you see what happened yesterday? i pointed out some of the biggest etfs in the high yield area. i'm talking about j&k had heavy volume and hitting new highs. why is that happening? a lot of people believe at the minimum the fed is going to extend forward guidance to keep interest rates low to at least 2015. all of that would be a big beneficiary to high-yield funds who are forcing people to go out on the yield curve. this is one simple way people are already anticipating exactly what the fmoc is going to be doing. back to you. >> terrific, bob. got to ask rick. looks like people sell bond, shift bonds to the dollar. rick is at cm group in chicago. >> thank you. i guess we should welcome europe to the same club the u.s. is in. lots of liquidity. maybe more liquidity coming. and a generally weak economy. welcome to the club. if you look at our charts, they pretty much reflect a lot of what central banking is doing
. it was happening. in the last election, 2008 the jewish vote in the united states when 78 percent president obama. >> if you ask me about the policy of president obama regarding is relevant to you president obama was not a friend of israel. stuart: that is where i have to hand it. dagen and, carry it forward. charles: you'll be interested, we have a big story that just came in. sports related. dagen: everyone listen to this breaking news. you will want to hear it. the owners of the boston red sox have begun quietly shopping the team and are mulling a potential sale of the story baseball franchise. charles: well, charlie gasparino is the one breaking business. he joins us on the telephone with some details. >> reporter: well, full disclosure, this is coming from a yankee fan. [laughter] taken for what it's worth. people with direct knowledge of the situation, here's what we know. the boston red sox management is quietly shopping the franchise. they have had an internal discussion about selling the boston red sox. they have talked to at least one person i know about the potential sale of the price
mortgages and potentially other assets until we see unemployment improve in the united states, is that a good decision on his part? >> it's not my habit to comment on decisions of the sister institutions. i would only say that it demonstrates, also, that when you look at the advanced economy through the grade of the central banking, you see that we are all engaged in nonstandard measures. >> how worried are you about the fiscal cliff in the united states is this. >> i think it is part of course of the major issue that in the advanced world you have to cope with. >> but if it happens, does it bring on another recession in the united states? >> i'm sure that the u.s. leadership, whatever you have in the president discussion of course between the two major sensitivities, but a sense of the saw peer kror interests of the country will prevail. i'm absolutely confident in that. i don't trust that it is possible that the sense of the superior interests of the united states of america and by way of consequence of the entire of course advanced economy and by way of consequence the enti
to us by the congress of the united states which represents the american people. >> what does that mean in terms of numbers? >> 2% growth. >> are we at two? kevin was very careful, he went 1.5 to 1.75. >> that's very precise. >> i want basis points. >> decimal points is silly stuff, come on, joe. >> i know. >> there is positive growth, it's just not robust and the key point, it's not enough to create the jobs we need in this country. now, i argue and i argue forcefully, i'll give a speech on this tomorrow night here in new york, the reason we have so much uncertainty is not just uncertainty about europe and uncertainty about the slowdown in china, these are important things. the real uncertainty stems from what are my taxes going to be? what kind of spending pattern also come out of the federal government, how do i deal with this explosion of regulatory morass we have coming out of washington. how do you budget whether you are exxon or a little bitty 20-person company, how does the woman who runs that company or the man who runs that company budget when they have no idea what their cost
this morning. they'll just try to get a share of the touch screen market in the united states. to your point about cash going out, more smart phones being sold than expected it is still a big shortage so the move today, is that indicative of -- >> they're not going out of business. >> even though the core operations remain unprofitable. their cash build was 2.3 from 2.2 on the quarter. >> they had more cash than previously. >> and their shipments continue to go down. they bleed people. >> you have the developing countries now. >> the pricing pressure is greater. >> there's always ban thought someone would buy them. but people felt why buy them because they'll run out of money and when they run out of money you can get them for nothing and you get all that intellectual property for nothing. there's a lot of companies that wish they had that keyboard patent. maybe that is worth something. i'm just saying that, look. i want the blackberry 10 to ship earlier. i thought becky's interview was terrific. it's very difficult to be as negative as you might have been before knowing that the restructuri
a barrel and what that meant for consumers and gasoline providers in the united states and developed nations when you think of a goldilocks scenario is not the same as we saw in early 2007 but the idea of the s&p and nasdaq and multi-year highs and gasoline prices coming down, central accommodation and what is taking place now number are very bullish on the heels of a rebalancing they referred to earlier and i will tell you into the close. liz: volatility and the close and we will give you all the information you need and thanks, great to see you. have a good weekend. the mission is to help you make money no matter what is happening in the world and peter barnes got a window into the federal reserve's thinking in an exclusive interview with eric rosenfrance. the move to implement quantitative easing is already starting to work in the housing market. >> rates are low in the boston market. prices going up. if you think the federal reserve program will last a fixed period, you want to catch it and interest rates low and prices going up. liz: precisely. why did we play the sound bite? my
of the oil from the middle east has to go through in order to get to europe and the united states. libya, for example, has brought its oil industry back online. it is pumping more than i believe a million barrels a day. these are essential to the oil markets internationally and to the price of gas here in the united states. so it's not just oil. it's also international security. it is future of israel. it is our long-term interests in the middle east. melissa: is it working? i hear what you're saying and you look at pictures and see what happens, you have to ask yourself is it working? >> of course those of us who have been out there, we're shocked and we're obviously very, very saddened by these events and our first reaction of one, gee, why does this happen? what we have to do is first of all see what the governments will do in response to these attacks. they have an absolute responsibility to protect embassies and diplomatic establishments. this was not done at all in the case of egypt. the libyans tried. there was a major gunbattle with terrorists involved. we have to see in days ahe
. >>> the drenching that parts of the united states got last week, including tornadoes out in queens, not really helping parched farmland. there are no farms in queens, are there? this afternoon we're going to get exclusive details on the economic impact from our senior economics reporter steve leisman. he's here live. >> in about three minutes we're going to get an e-mail from the guy that runs the farm in queens. it is a big impact from what's a small sector of the economy and it could even have an impact on the presidential election. in a detailed study of the summer's drought which scored soybeans, corn and other crops across the nation, macro economic advisors out of st. louis estimate it could shave as much as a half point off gross domestic product this year. that's a big hit to a $13 trillion economy from a total farm sector that accounts for just -- wait for it now -- 1% of the nation's output. ben herzon is the economist who did the study. pe explai he explains the drought's outside impact. >> even though it only accounts for 1% of the economy, big changes in farm output can show up in
competitors to step up the game in order for mcdonald's to start missing here in the united states. what will mcdonald's force to be done? and will that be good from an investor standpoint? how much will they have to give up maybe in terms of margins in order to get those customers back, for instance? >> you know, i think it's a combination of being more aggressive on the dollar menu. they will give a little bit on the margin side and we have near term caution on that particular point. but i also think they have a pretty nice product pipeline shaping up for 2013, which gives us excitement, and it's one of the reasons why mcdonald's is one of our favorite medium term names in the space. we do have some caution based on more difficult comparisons that show up in the fourth quarter as well as the threat of higher food costs that are going to pay out early next year. >> we should point out that with 104th on the price target. jim, we hear again from r.j. about food costs. actually the flip side of this is that we have a very weak labor market in the united states. so for as long as we're not
economy and that's why the united states must do what we must to prevent iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon. >> and that's president obama speaking at the u.n. yesterday and ahmadinejad speaks today. in the next hour, the american muslim's response from the american islamic forum for democracy. joining us at 10:15. and elizabeth warren making headlines again, but do you remember this? >> in this country, who got rich on his own, nobody. you built a factory out there good for you, but i want to be clear, you moved your goods to markets on the roads to paid for. >> the woman who started the income envy debate with that rant. turns out she was getting paid by a steel company and that against the unions. could it be true? and that's not all. questions whether she's licensed to practice law. that is just one of our new at ten stories. and then we have barnes & noble. it's got a lighter and thinner e-reader. so, nicole, is the stock up? >> oh, yeah, the stock is up lighter, thinner, high def. you want 7 inches, you want 9 inches, want to be able to read in the dark and do you want a strong
the world's largest economy in the united states. i would imagine if in three to ten years the financial system were to collapse because of the overprinting of money, i would imagine we would have a lot to do with that as the biggest players in all of this. does that mean that you are pessimistic about the united states' ability to come to grips with its unfunded liabilities and entitlements? is that what's going to cause this, we're not going to fix these? >> i'm very concerned that regardless of who will be in the white house next year, the republicans or the democrats, the fiscal deficit will stay above a trillion dollars as far as the eye can see. and that more money printing is on the way, qe 3, qe 4, so on. but you understand i want to clarify one point, i am bearish about the financial system and i think eventually it will collapse, but if you think it through, what is better to own in a systemic crisis, cash with the banks, treasury bills, or real estate in the u.s., or equities? i think that real estate in the u.s., i'm not talking about west 15 where sandy sold his condo for 8
here in the united states? we've got similar issues, don't we? we have an e more nor we? we have an e more nomous debt l and the debate on what to cut. >> there's always a question of priorities and where you focus your attention. i think the president has made a major effort to reduce the budget deficit and also to invest in the future of the country, just like a corporation in many senses that has too much debt, that it has to put its debt in line with its ability to raise revenues. it also has to invest in its future. the president, i think, is investing in education, infrastructure, many things that will make the country stronger. that's really the goal. it's to have a sound budget policy but also invest in the country's future. i think that's what the president's trying to do. >> but bob, we haven't had a budget in three years. >> well, a lot of programs that he's proposed have not gotten through the congress. that's a big challenge. he's focused on education. he has a very significant proposal on infrastructure development. these are the kind of things that are needed to make us
moved, not by what's going on here in the united states, but what's been going on in europe, which says to me two things. one, any bad news out of europe is going to send the market down. two, eventually people are going to have to pay attention to what's going on in the united states. i'm expecting we're heading into earnings season, i'm expecting anemic growth, and eventually that's going to have to play into the situation here. i mean, i know you don't fight the fed, but eventually we have to come back to what's going on in terms of fundamentals and stop focusing on monetary policy. >> what do you think? are we going to focus on fundamentals? if you are, kurt, would you be a seller of this market? >> we are focused in on fundamentals. i think this has been a tug of war between the reflationists and some of the risk that's been perceived in the market. we're not investing in gdp. we're investing in earnings. so far, earnings has held up. so far this year the stock market has been doing well. we'll focus on earnings. in terms of am i a buyer here, i'm taking selective positions because
going through a tremendous recession and just like the united states, we're investing in the toughest of times so that the customers will have the vehicles they want in value as the economy starts to come back. >> reporter: ford tries to fix sales and grow sales the big question for a lot of investors, what happens when the ten assembly plants in europe? is there a chance to curtail production further? 63% capacity in the second squaert and losses could be as high as $2 billion by an estimate on wall street. and as you look at ford stocks, off to the races today. this is the highest we have seen this stock since early july. some are wondering is it possible to get above $10? hasn't been there since springtime. >> phil, if this rally has staying power maybe it will. thank you very much. >>> tonight, president obama will officially accept the democratic nomination for the second term as president of the united states. the business is building inside the arena in charlotte and talking with the may why are of gary, indiana. miss karen freeman-wilson. madame mayor, nice to have you on "pow
.3% in the second quarter. the united states economy is barely, barely moving. now i think voters want to know what's going on. dagen: what's going on with mitt romney, he can't seem to put together a cohesive discussion about the state of the economy that is resonating with voters. you mentioned in the column that he was talking about trade cheaters and energy independence, which seem wholly removed from what is really happening right here right now on the ground for the american people. >> well, the ads that target china as a trade cheater are aimed at voters in northern ohio and around the great lakes where the auto workers are, but obama has been running his own ads hitting china, so i think they kind of neutralize one another. we had a report this morning that durable goods orders have dropped the most since january 09. orders for motor vehicles and motor vehicle parts dropped 11% in august. whatever obama did to bail out the auto industry, those people working in the industries in the northern ohio are the ones affected by a figure like that. and i don't quite understand why romney isn't goin
that word, the auto industry of the united states at that time? >> it sounds like rhetoric. but -- and it is rhetoric, i guess, because it's words. but i think they're actually factual words. president bush and hank paulson agree because they were the first ones to provide capital to the auto industry. if the government had not stepped in, these companies would have had to literally shut their doors, they would have run out of cash, had to lay off their workers. the suppliers would have gone down. ford would have gone down. the industry would have shut down. whether it would have ultimately liquidated would depend on what would have happened after that. >> that is not the case. and in fact we got some very strong numbers earlier this week. are you surprised at the strength of auto sales at this point? >> no, i'm not surprised because you need to sell 15 million cars a year in this country simply to keep the fleet from aging. and we have not done that now for over four years. this is unprecedented in american history. so you have a huge amount of pent-up demand for cars beca
quickly and when. >> the united states has not had a current the account surplus since 1991. if we were on the gold standard, we just might not have anymore gold left. >> didn't we pass that so long ago? >> the dollar is not a weak currency. the dollar probably needs to be weaker in order to be more competitive, but you can't say that about every currency in the world. certainly in japan the currency has gotten too strong and you now they have the additional problems because of all of the riots going on, the conflict in china over these islands. and that's going to hurt japan again. so japan needs more than just a currency fix. the united states i think you can argue the currency is overvalued in a more fundamental way, but japan has lots of problems. >> do you play currencies? good >> only through companies listed in the u.s. we're not hedging. >> not hedges because -- >> because if we knew where currencies have gone, you'd be the smartest person around. the euro goes to 1.30 -- so it's hard. you have to get fundamentals right and then currency will take care of it. >> what's the diffe
of a significant downturn in the united states economy. >> so if you have a downturn, there's a possibility that you don't have that right mix and that you could have a downturn. the odds of that are comparatively low but i worry about it because it's significant possibility. i described it as though, imagine you're on an airplane that's flying from here to los angeles, you're probably going to get there okay but if you hit an air pocket and meaning if the economy goes down, there's not an easy way to reverse it. monetary policy is less effective because when you buy a bond, when the federal reserve makes a purchase, that has the effect of giving money to somebody who won't put that money into something like that bond. and that money does not easily go to people who spend it, that's a balance between monetary and fiscal policy and i worry about the policymakers getting that balance right. that's a possibility and a scary possibility. other than that, i think the most likely situation is we will fly successfully from here to los angeles essentially but we have longer risks. you need a balanc
the united states. the only time i've ever had a break is when i was on maternity leave. i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. there's natural gas under my town. it's a game changer. ♪ it means cleaner, cheaper american-made energy. but we've got to be careful how we get it. design the wells to be safe. thousands of jobs. use the most advanced technology to protect our water. billions in the economy. at chevron, if we can't do it right, we won't do it at all. we've got to think long term. we've got to think long term. ♪ for the spender who needs a little help saving. for adding "& sons." for the dreamer, planning an early escape. for the mother of the bride. for whoever you are, for whatever you're trying to achieve, pnc has technology, guidance, and over 150 years of experience to help you get there. ♪ >>> "squawk box" keeping our eyes on the prize, its eight a "squawk" oil summit. the smartest minds in the industry. >>> safeguarding your online reputation. the founde
a stake in and it's tesla here in the united states. they're coming out and saying that they're developing plans, they'll have to slow things down, not going as quickly as originally thought. any concerns about the demand in the future for the electric car given your investment in tesla? >> i think the oem is never in a hype mode as some of the media was as far as electric cars are concerned. this transition will happen. it's a long transition. we're very very beginning. we'll see customers, but of course so far it's a niche and will take time to develop. we will continue to pioneer this market and in 10 or 20 year, electric cars will play a significant role. >> doctor, thank you for joining us live from the paris auto show. joe, becky, andrew, it does not lk like there's a bottom. we're hearing from ceos and they are not seeing a bottom yet. are you looking out at 2015, 2016 before the auto industry can say, okay, at least we see a base here. >> bad news add to go a pile of bad news we've heard recently. phil, thank you very much. and we do want to have you back here soon to talk to us mo
of the market. it is in the hands of the eflt cb not the hands of united states. >> we should point out tomorrow we will get some sort of plan or are expecting to from the ecb perhaps some details about a bond buying plan of some kind that we're hearing some things about today. the market may be disappointed in that these reports seem to indicate they'd be targeting three years and less in terms of maturity. that they would not have a yield target perhaps, say we're not going to let it go above 7%, and that it would be sterilized purchases. there are some who believe, hey, you need to actually increase the money supply. really if you're going to get things moving in europe but of course the germans are always concerned about inflation and sterilization which basically means they'll try and take in as much in deposits as they buy in bonds. sort of keeping -- >> somebody tweeted this morning fed bernanke needs to show them how you really print money. and, jim, one other facet of this report is that the head of the bach the german still remains the one lone hold out to this bond buying policy meani
. but here in the united states, with respect to the rally, i'm getting a large number of questions. we're getting a large number of questions about whether or not the stimulus boost from federal reserve easing is what it used to be, so to speak. i would remind people take a look at the last couple of instances, we've had similar measures. we've had similar instances of people wondering whether the fed was -- if i had $1 for every time we talked about the fed being out of bullets, i'd have lots of dollars. and we're going through that again. >> they would all be worth less. >> the previous dollar, yes. >> less than maybe ten years ago. not necessarily less than five years ago. >> shame on you for that populist comment there that you should be cutting taxes in europe. at what point do you think the spanish are going to cut taxes given the situation that they're in? shame on you for appealing to your republican base in such a shameless way. >> btig's clients would be interested to know that i had a republican base, but listen. at the end of the day, there isn't a sort of a one-size-fits-a
aren't moving anywhere. it's on hope they can get it rationalized. united states is on fire and everyone keeps saying why can't we buy ford. because of latin america and europe. >> facebook, a bit backward looking, but the best day yesterday since that ipo. it's almost you can't say ipo without saying botched ipo. that's the way everybody says it. was there a turn yesterday? >> i think that you're going to have a well p like situation is what people hope. yelp was a giant lock up that expired and all the shorts were piled on. it went up seven. you have to bet that everyone is overly short facebook to get this thing going. i think it's more of the dynamics of the lock up in actual earnings. >> the big lock up is coming november and by november, we'll have more than a million shares hit the market. >> that's a big lock up to overcome. >> aig was remarkable. had 600 million shares hit, but aig of course was valued at half book. facebook, not valued at half book. >> taking a look at the financials, it is worth noting because xlf closed at five-month highs. taking a bit of a brea
the president has taken office, for every one dollar added to the economy, the united states has added more than 3 dollars in debt. while there's been a 12% increase in economic output, there's been a 50% increase in the national debt. those are the numbers. here's something not to get lost today. one of the biggest names in america business says the economy is getting worse. we're going to have more on why fedex is lowering its outlook. dagen: you wonder why oil is selling off. one of the biggest names in the bond market, he is here in studio. bob auwaerter coming on. bank of america, merrill lynch just said gold going to end up going to $2400 an ounce. we know how those often work out. look at oil at $96 a barrel. [ horn honks ] [ male nouncer ] you start your day... love you, too. ...thinking about what's important to you -- your family... ...e mortgage... the kids' college tuition. [ cellphone ringing ] but life insurance? [ horn honking ] life is unpredictable. that's why at fidelity life we want you to think about term life insurance -- taking care of your family's future expenses if somet
's the best case scenario. >> does allow us to focus on the united states. >> exactly. >> we're probably doing better than any economy in the world. >> you're not trying to whistle past graveyards on that front, right? you're not trying to ignore europe. >> melissa mentioned the trading perspective. i think that the traders are saying, okay, now, what do we have here, and when we look at here, well, why don't we see with the steel industry, the auto industry. we focus -- the fill lebeau interview was incredibly important where allan mull ha ly says europe, we don't have it. the truth is united states has it. 14.5 million vehicles. that is a bull market in cars. >> right. >> we are talking about this upgrade today. sun trust, why is sun trust upgraded? i think that's very significant, not just because my trust owns it, but i'm looking at sun trust saying that is, again, the housing market in the south because the federal reserve didn't like sun trust. housing, autos, retail. what else do we need? >> right. >> well, we could use china to start growing a little bit faster instead of going the oth
been made of their failure to invest and promote the pepsi brand for soda within the united states. how relevant now is the home market for investors when, for example, coke is suggesting they will invest $30 billion over the next two or three years with the bot lers to double consumption around the world? >> it's a great question. so there's been a terrific change of heart at pepsi. this year about $600 million of advertising spending behind the businesses, the bulk of that is going to happen in north america. you probably just saw they sign add deal with the nfl. clearly they feel the pressure and want to start growing some of their businesses here at home again. >> and how does that compare to mao tau kent and the mass everybody bottlers worldwide. >> remember, coke bought their bottle in the u.s. so they have a lot more skin in the game. the good die naming here on the beverage side is guys are kind of getting along and playing nicely for the first time in a while. i think they want to make more money. they're cognizant of the economic. they're making the pack sizes smaller and lift
's happening in the united states. >> certainly that's going to bring down the large indices and i just wonder if you think in the fourth quarter there will be a put from central banks or from hedge fund managers that have to play catchup or could we look at the last three months last year? >> central banks are obviously very powerful. you know the old saying, don't fight the fed. you have to be very careful. but as you stretch out the time rise and what you find historically is there is no relationship between liquidity and stock market movement. but i think what's much more important is your original question, if the profit cycle continues to decelerate, i think that's what people want to think about and that's what people want to position their portfolios for. i still think personally that you want to look at more defensive sectors which i think are less prone to have these big earnings disappointments right now. >> rich, can you put together these two knows in the market that you want to be in more dmfticily oriented companies and also this other thought in the market that you want to be i
those good things. so you can start ordering them on friday. it starts deliveries in the united states the following friday on the 21st. we'll have more on this coming up all day here. let's get to brian shactman with his market flash. >> thank you very much, bill. there is news out there outside of apple. i want to take a look at dole foods, the iconic brand now a smaller cap company just under $1 billion. right around 1:00, the nikkei reported. the headline and the subheader, they reported a japanese company was acquire two dole food units for $1.7 billion. the subhead says they hope to reach an agreement this month. the price spiked. the stock is up 10%. back to you. >> thank you so much, brian. if world investors are right, get ready for another intervention to boost the economy. >> mean time, we're going to talk about whether it's needed or not. peter says any fed action is not going to help and it's wrong. others say the economy needs it right now. let's talk about it and get your perspective on this. peter, you saw the employment numbers last friday. you don't think we need more
tarp was one of the worst economic decisions in the history of the united states. >> okay. so like i said, he does not hold back on anything he's thinking about. he will be our guest host for two hours today, and that begins at 7:00 eastern. we are also going to be talking finance with the ceo of cowen and company, jeffrey solomon, and bill isaac. plus the state of innovation, steve case will be joining us live at 7:30 eastern time. so we have a big show ahead. before we get to all of that, let's get you up to speed on the morning's headlines. andrew, good morning. >> thanks, becky. good morning to you. we will get you caught up on some of the big headlines. germany's highest court ruling that the country can ratify the new permanent european bailout fund, but there are conditions to germany's participation. here's the important part. parliament will have veto power over any future increases. we'll have more on that story in just a few moments. back here in the u.s., the fed is beginning to begin convening a two-day policy setting meeting in washington. market expectations high. many
some growth and the country is the united states. >> and we don't have the demographic. >> no, we don't. where they are selling more adult diapers than baby diapers. >> kimberly-clark. >> the aging of this country will accelerate. >> we're selling fewer baby diapers, let's be clear. there are fewer babies being born. >> right. it's a declining population as well to a certain extent and the dramatic age -- >> right. i think that our household formation was a cyclical decline related to the recession. i wouldn't be sur poised if the 1.85 children per house, i find it hard to reconcile that. it goes back to two and we see a gradual choice in housing. people were living with their mother-in-laws, and i had that experience. it's tentative. >> now you're in your car, you weren't living with your mother-in-law, you were in your car. >> live inning my car with a couple of kids and it wasn't -- an suv, that would have been an svu situation. reverse the letters. >> if everyone is debasing their currency, is anyone debasing their currency? >> that's a great question. >> a race to the bottom. >>
manufacturing contracting here in the united states. yesterday, we learned it's contracting in the china for the first time since november and in europe, it continues to contract. and yet, you think that the market is well supported here, why? >> i think it's going to be a range bound market. i think right now, we're in the tougher end of the range. there are two things that are supporting the market. one, there is an economic value to entities and so the lbo or acquisition value is providing support. to the extent companies return cash to shareholders, that offers some support. >> do you see many acquisitions in the market at the moment? >> no, and that's one of the things that's been surprising and disappointing at the same time. it's interesting. there are areas of the market where you've seen capital flow to economic opportunity. for example, buying single family homes to rent them out. which is an arbitrage that was made available by the decline housing prices you haven't seen a comparable level of activity on the corporate side, which is surprising. there are a couple of opportunit
level, and it took 19 years to midthat old level again. the united states over the same period. it went back up, back up, back down, and now here we are, if you can zoom in on the edge here. this is the big question for the fed, what's the right level of unemployment to come back down to. is the old number something we can attain, or is the level higher. we looked at it from different angles and it looks cyclical. '08 and '09, things like construction came mack. unemployment rose too fast for it to be long-term government issues. programs like extended unemployment insurance have maybe kept the rate high. let's look at what the response was. lacker and bullard say there is a huge percentage of people unemployed for a long period of time. where is the deflation. all of this extra slack, then we should have deflation in the economy, and the former president of the central bank. an expert in monetary policy, put up this chart. when you look at core inflation, there is no deflation. he argues thath race should maybe be higher. bill, a big debate in the federal reserve. what number should we
're seeing through the lens. how are things both in the united states and europe. >> and china? >> let's talk about the u.s. in almost every business, there are pockets of real success. let's take, for example, the enormous burst in rental housing. the command for rental housing is incredible. so we're in the home supply business. we do cabinet doors, home depot, supply, we do vanities and things like that. we sell vanity kits as fast as you possibly make to landlocked and multifamily housing who put these things in. we charge $500, they increase the rent $100 a month, the pay back is in months, and the game is on. people are renovating rental places and motels and hotels because they're occupied. three years ago they were taking a room in a motel, tearing it apart, bringing the fixture over and fixing the other room that was leaking. now they're renovating those things. so the home rental idea is moving strongly. you take the marcellus fields, we can't get pipe up there fast enough. we can't get pre-fab buildings up there fast enough. i mean, i'm not talking marcellus, i'm talking north dako
's take a look at the broader picture. again, the futures here in the united states look a little better after what was a pretty lousy day yesterday. i think it was the worst day for dow in the entire month of december. it was the worst day for the nasdaq in two months and it was the worst day for the s&p in throe months. oil prices continued to push lower and they do once again this morning. they're down another 64 cents to $90 and change. that's been the one bright spot that's been helping out things like the transports, but again, yesterday, every single one of these sectors is down. yesterday we saw a dip below 1.7%. let's call up the dollar board right now. you'll see what happened with these. dollar is a little stronger against the euro, but that's not saying a whole lot. 1.2865. we're also taking a look at the yen. never mind, i lost it there. gold prices are barely budging, 17.66. >> plasser said something yesterday -- >> he said it's not going to help. >> he said he didn't agree with it, it's not going to help and it's going to be hard to get out. >> right. raise the risks. >> j
there and are you independent of what happens in the united states as a bank? >> yes, we are focused on the market. even though we have a bank operation, and asset management business, too. and insurance, too. retail banking is the most important at the moment. >> your parent company, santander, still owns 75% of you. it's a bank that needs money, that's why you're going through the ipo. how do i know as an investor that santander won't flood the market with further stock going down the line? >> well, santander has a strategy, a list of different banks in the local markets. to have more community with the markets. and even though we have that company, santander is doing great in retail banking. decisions that are better for the mexican market. >> can you prevent them from selling the other 75% of your bank on the market? >> yeah, they have decided to sell a part because mexico is a very good investment for the group and is one of the main sources of profit and is good for the group. >> before we let you go, mexico's been through many, many debt crises. what is their view of how europe is handling
of years here in the united states, no matter who's in charge. others think we're headed well down from here. how do you see it? how are you kind of playing this out? >> i really see that the u.s. has one of the most dynamic economies. a lot of entrepreneurs that can always figure out where else to take their companies. and i think this is -- we have seen that in shell gas, where shell gas went from nowhere to 50, 60, now 80 billion cubic meters of annual production. it's unbelievable. and i think this is something that, you know, we do believe in the u.s. economy in the fact that, you know, u.s. cooperations will always come up with new ways of satisfying that demand. >> andrei, thank you. >> thank you. >>> coming up, the jobs report could become a political football on the campaign trail. new england patriot president jonathan kraft will join us with a unique indicator. first, what happens when you send a conservative free market economist to the dnc with a microphone? peter shift found out and he'll join us live at 6:50 a.m. here's a little preview of that. >> how about a cap on prof
are basically mandated with the task of a medium to long-term sort of united states of europe kind of plan which involves fiscal, more fiscal union and political union and most interestingly i detect more and more some sort of thoughts about more parliamentary responsibility, so therefore a bit more accountability and democracy so he knew all of that before he said what he said six weeks ago and he certainly knew that he'd gotten merkel behind him in my view. >> george soros has an op. ed piece, he says germany needs to lead or leave and if a germany were to leave, the euro would depreciate, the debt burden remain the same in nominal terms and debtor companies would regain their competitiveness and the value of their real estate would also appreciate in nominal terms. do you buy that? >> i can't resist in teasing him a bit. he must be dabbling around in mantis united shares going to his head. without germany there is no euro. the idea germany leaves and the rest carry on is a non-starter. i don't understand why someone like george is saying that. >> i want to see his book, whenever he says anyth
the unemployment problem here in the united states. >> yeah, i agree with you on that, bill, but i just want to make a point that i've heard a lot of politicians talk about unemployment. i've not heard any single person talk in a more impassioned way. you can agree or disagree with his prescription, but as far as i can tell, he's the only one in the political establishment doing anything about it. so i think that's an important thing. and that's one of the reasons why, you know, he feels -- he's pointing out that fed policy is not a panacea. he needs help from the fiscal side. >> how come we're not getting it, steve? is it just because washington is so broken? >> i think it's so broken, and i think no side is willing to give the other side any advantage whatsoever until the election clarifies. >> i think that's outrageous. i think that's outrageous, really. i do. >> but it's the reality we face right now. lance roberts, what strikes you about -- i mean, are you hopeful that the economy can get better as ben bernanke suggests, or are you more concerned about what the implications are for this
contributor. david foon is part of the fastest growing jewish newspaper in the united states. gentlemen, how big of a factor is this tension between iran and israel factored into the price of oil? >> there's no question that today's run-up, marimaria, was direct reaction. we got a leak of some of the speech earlier before the market opened that, in fact, prime minister netanyahu was going to state what this red line was going to be all about. now we know. of course, it comes on the heels of ahmadinejad's speech yesterday. this got right back in the forefront of the traders and the markets' mind here. what it represents, of course, for oil is, you know, the mother of all supply risks here. the strait of hormuz comes into play. the whole region comes into play. obviously, it's almost a mild reaction given what we got here today. we're clearly on a path to something, some confully grags. i do say given that netanyahu says they won't get to that final stage until next summer, we have some time. >> david, what did you think of the red line speech? netanyahu has pressed for this before. the u.s. i
% of the budget. >>> back in the united states, the new york attorney general is investigating whether private equity firms have abused tax strategy in order to cut hundreds of millions from their tax bills. eric schneiderman wants documents that reveal whether they converted certain fgt fees into investments which are taxed at a lower rate than ordinary xhk. economy. schneiderman is looking to see if he's trying to embarrass bain. andrew, right now, i'll send it over to you. >> fascinating story. hope we talk about that in a little bit. corporate headlines this morning. valiant pharmaceuticals is buying metacis for $24 a share. a 39% premium. the deal boosting valiant skin care offering and adds botox to it's portfolio. oracle is launching an appeal on five-year long court case against s.a.p. last month they agreed to pay oracle $306 million over copyright infringement allegations. great to be back. what do you think, a little right here in. >> i've never heard of disport? >> botox? >> you're not who i'm worried about. it's clear by saying you might need it, i know what you're actually saying
in the united states. maybe you do own them. >> do you know who has heard of them? >> who? >> jim cramer. >> the deal is worth approximately $35.75 a share. i don't know what type of medical devices they make. you know, i like a lot of things. i don't mind seeing toys made in china, that's fine, that's good. my defibrillator, maybe not. >> there are problems with defibrillators made here. >> that's true. my 737, no. >> no? >> you fly around on chinese airplanes? >> the iphone. the iphone doesn't crash. >> chinese car if you lock your keys in them, you get a can opener and you can easily break into your car like a lunar landing module, you put your elbow right through it if you -- >> what do you want me to say? >> that amazon is planning an online marketplace? >> amazon is planning an online market place for wine sales, the second attempt to sell wines to consumers after a partner problem forced them to end the first one three years ago. they held a workshop in napa this week with members of the napa valley vintners association. they are planning to charge wineries a 15% commission on sal
. this is blowing up in the face of the democratic party. if the president of the united states tonight continues with a theme of, elizabeth warren, and, the sudden populist drive of former president bill clinton clinton, election may be not close at all because the american people don't want to hear about us and them, telling them that the system is rigged. what they want is a fair, square deal. all they had to do was go back and look at the history of the democratic party. this isn't it. this is an anomaly. this is a departure. melissa: she is right the system is rigged. rigged against anybody that goes tout there to try to earn some money because the government is going to take it away from you. she is right but won the exact wrong point or conclusion. >> i have advice, since you prompt me in that direction for the republicans. republicans shouldn't get in a whine-off with the democrats. big boys and girls run big companies in this country and small business. it is time for everybody to stop the whining and get moving. what we desperately need in this country is a leader, in the senate, in the
industry can be to improve the perception of banking, which is at a 40-year low in the united states, and so many people who died were in the financial industry. i knew several and so i think our actions can be driven by the shareholders and if it's not driven by the shareholders, then it will be driven by the regular gla glators and part of the action is encourage the large banks to spin off certain underperforming divisions so the valuation could increase and right now the sum of the parts for many of these banks are far above where these market values exist. >> okay, mike. we appreciate that sentiment and the point. back to jamie dimon for a second and this idea of splitting up the banks. you raised this issue with him. what was his answer? >> he didn't say never, and the debate with jamie dimon got heated last thursday when i met with him, he's ceo of jpmorgan as you know, and he said if the discount is 50% and the businesses are no worse off, then he'd consider it, even jamie dimon would consider a splitup. he said it's extremely unlikely, they have all sorts of synergies and th
a month or so and you see iron ore stocks, you see machinery stocks in the united states and other parts of the world rally off the back of this notion of china stimulus, are all those things built on false expectations? >> we need to look at those charts. and most of those charts have fallen very sharply in the last two months. so what we experience through our trading book on friday with short coverings, we didn't see long-only investors coming in and buying stocks this morning. what i do think is different and you've highlighted that asia has recovered -- talking about a recovery -- the local investors do seem to be more excited by this new story than we've seen for some period of time. particularly noting that cement stocks rallied quite hard today in shanghai. so that is interesting that the local investors are somewhat more enthused about this story than we've seen for months. >> okay. adrian, thank you so much for phoning in. we appreciate it. adrian mowat of jpmorgan. >>> it's interesting this morning that stocks are essentially hanging on to the sharp gains that they made last w
camera again is everybody wants equal opportunity and fairness in the united states. it's just when that breaks down and you don't think it's fair. and you know what else plays into it? is corporate cronyism and the kablt ability to succeed but not to fail. we talk about these things in a perfect world. and it's not perfect. and that's when we get things that need to be rectified and people feel like they're getting screwed, basically. >> no, there's a feeling, and the feeling is enhanced in a downturn, a bubbly economy is when people feel better. i have to add these problems may seem, you know, to be challenges for us. they're big challenges in other places. >> worse than here. >> oh, yeah. india has had momentum stall and a loss of investor confidence from some really dumb stuff. >> you think we can get our mojo back, mike? >> oh, yeah. >> you do? >> yeah, i think so. partly because there's so many parts of the economy on the private sector side that are dynamic and functioning fine. i think people will get motivated and get back in the game. the real question marks frankly on our
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